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Scoring patterns in #WorldCup Knockout Phases 2010-2018

The Quarter Finals are about to take place at the 2018 FIFA World Cup. I have been using a naive Bayes approach to anticipate when...

Naive probability priors for goal scoring at #WorldCupRussia2018

I have some naive prior probability estimates for when goals will be scored at the 2018 FIFA World Cup based on performances in 2014...

Scoring first in football project: two FIFA World Cups

This is a second post in the scoring first in football project. The first reported on six European leagues in the 2017-2018 season. The methodology...

Scoring first in football project: six European leagues

I have been monitoring scoring first in association football. In the 2017-2018 season I used the Worldfootball.net website to record goal scoring timings in six...