#AC2015 Performance Against Elo Ratings in 32 Games

The Asian Cup 2015 concluded yesterday evening in Sydney.
The Final was the thirty-second game of the Tournament.
I looked at the performance of teams in these 32 games in relation to their Elo Ratings.
Higher Elo rated teams won 24 of the 32 games played at the Tournament. Of these:

  • 22 higher rated teams scored first and won their games.


  • 2 higher rated teams did not score first and won their games


  • 8 Higher Elo rated teams lost to lower rated teams in the Tournament

Of these eight games, DPR Korea (v Saudi Arabia), Uzbekistan (v China) and Iran (v Iraq) scored first and lost. Iran lost to Iraq in a penalty shoot out.
The five games where a lower Elo rated team scored first and won were:
UAE defeated Japan in a penalty shoot out.
The data I used for this post can be found here.

Photo Credit

DSC_0188 (Joshua Sadli, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0)


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