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Naive probability priors for goal scoring at #WorldCupRussia2018

I have some naive prior probability estimates for when goals will be scored at the 2018 FIFA World Cup based on performances in 2014...

Scoring first in football project: two FIFA World Cups

This is a second post in the scoring first in football project. The first reported on six European leagues in the 2017-2018 season. The methodology...

Scoring first in football project: six European leagues

I have been monitoring scoring first in association football. In the 2017-2018 season I used the Worldfootball.net website to record goal scoring timings in six...

#WLeague 2017-2018: goal scoring and game outcomes

The 2017-2018 W-League season ended at the weekend with Melbourne City's victory over Sydney in the Grand Final. During the season, I used the Westfield...

Six European Football Leagues Going into Christmas 2017

I have been following scoring patterns in six European football leagues (EPL, Ligue 1, Bundesliga, Serie A, Eredivisie and Primera) in the 2017-2018 season. I...

Scoring first and losing in six European league competitions 2017-2018: Update

There have been 21 games this season in six European leagues (EPL, Ligue 1, Eredivisie, Bundesliga, Serie A, Primera) in which the team that...

Scoring first and losing in six European football leagues 2017-2018

At the end of league games on 11 September, 212 games had been played in six European football leagues: EPL (40), Ligue 1 (50),...

101 Goals in the EPL 2017-2018 Season: End of Week 4

There have been four rounds of the 2017-2018 English Premier League football season. 101 goals have been scored in the games played. The 100th goal...

The impact of scoring first in football

The twenty-first game of the 2017-2018 EPL season was the first time that a team scored first and lost this season. Charlie Daniels (Bournemouth) scored...

Goals Scored Week 1 EPL 2017-2018

Introduction I am monitoring the goals scored in the EPL 2017-2018 season. I am using secondary data from worldfootball.net. I have two specific interests in monitoring...