The Impact of Managerial Change: EPL 2017-2018

I noticed this tweet earlier today

By coincidence, Ron Smith had sent me a link to the paper too. It is available online at this link.

The paper encouraged me to think about the data I have been collecting from the EPL.

I have been tracking the impact of the eight managerial changes in the EPL this season with a very basic ‘momentum’ metric. This indicates that, after week 28 of the season, Leicester has benefited most from a change (+3) whilst West Brom has struggled (-7).

My maps of routes to safety or relegation, in order of managerial changes, are:

Crystal Palace



West Ham

West Brom




Simon Gleave added a fascinating dimension to this conversation in his consideration of how many points are required to remain in the EPL.

He shared this graphic (14 February 2018) of the % chance of relegation this season:

Photo Credit

BFCvFCUM_ENPLPD_041114 (Matthew Wilkinson, CC BY-ND 2.0)


2 thoughts on “The Impact of Managerial Change: EPL 2017-2018”

  1. It would be good to add a dimension to your analysis namely, firstly, ‘strategic context’ of each club in terms of maturity against a ‘health of the club’ model such as Sport Wizard(R) BIS or Building Integrated Success. Secondly, to examine the specific portfolio of the manager – leadership and style, strategy and governance, This could provide contextual intelligence to further measure progress and success and comparative progress and success. Happy to work with you on this, Keith.

Leave a Reply