The group games are about to start at the 2019 Asian Cup football tournament (link).
I have used goal scoring data from the group games of the previous two Asian Cup tournaments to derive some naive priors for when goals will be scored in the group stage of the tournament.
It will be interesting to see the early trends in goal scoring. The previous goal scoring patterns (2015, 2011) were:
My data from goal scoring in 2015 and 2011 are:
Time Interval | 2015 | 2011 |
0-15 minutes | 0.10 | 0.19 |
16-30 minutes | 0.13 | 0.17 |
31-45 minutes | 0.25 | 0.19 |
46-60 minutes | 0.16 | 0.14 |
61-75 minutes | 0.16 | 0.11 |
76-90 minutes | 0.20 | 0.21 |