![](https://i0.wp.com/keithlyons.me/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/D2ZIaAbVAAA8nMN.jpg?fit=660%2C880&ssl=1)
Adelaide will play Carlton in the 2019 AFLW Grand Final (link) at the Adelaide Oval on Sunday, 31 March.
I have been collecting secondary data of points scoring from the official AFLW site (link) and have been thinking about what kind of final we might have.
I am particularly interested in the robustness of median performance profiles and the possibility of estimating some naive priors.
Points Scoring
![](https://i0.wp.com/keithlyons.me/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/PS.png?resize=855%2C524&ssl=1)
Points Conceding
![](https://i0.wp.com/keithlyons.me/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/PC.png?resize=855%2C524&ssl=1)
Points Difference
![](https://i0.wp.com/keithlyons.me/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/PD.png?resize=855%2C524&ssl=1)
Data
The data include naive priors for performance in the Final in attack and defence with which to monitor each team’s tactical response to opponent and within game adaptation.
Adelaide
![](https://i0.wp.com/keithlyons.me/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Adelaide.png?resize=299%2C235&ssl=1)
Carlton
![](https://i0.wp.com/keithlyons.me/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Carlton.png?resize=330%2C234&ssl=1)
Photo Credit
Adelaide Oval (Gabriella Marchant, Twitter)