What kind of game? Run scoring patterns leading into #WT20

The 2018 ICC Women’s World Twenty20 is being hosted by the West Indies. There are three games on the first day of the tournament, 9 November.
I have data from 58 Women’s ICC T20 games played in 2017-2018 prior to the 2018 World Twenty20. I will track the games in the West Indies and compare them to the median profiles from the 58 games played. 26 of these games were won by the team batting first, 32 by the team batting second.
My profiles are:

Winning Teams

Losing Teams

Naive Priors
From these data, I have identified these priors to monitor outcomes in the tournament to track when runs are scored.

My hope is that these priors give an early indication of game outcome … and enable me to explore outlier game outcomes.
Photo Credit
Frame grab, Star Sports video (Twitter)


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