![A bar chart of probabilities of scoring first and not losing in six European football leagues](https://i0.wp.com/keithlyons.me/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Screen-Shot-2019-02-11-at-10.31.18-am.png?resize=726%2C447&ssl=1)
After this week’s games in six European football leagues, it is interesting to see how each league is tracking against a prior probability of scoring first and not losing.
I established the priors from results in the 2017-2018 season. Two of the six leagues (Bundesliga and Eredivisie) are different to their priors in comparison to four other leagues (EPL, Ligue 1, Serie A and Primera).