The second round of group games at the 2019 Asian Cup (link) concluded with Uzbekistan’s 4v0 defeat of Turkmenistan in Group F (link).
In the 24 games played:
- The team that scored first has not lost in 20 of these games.
- The higher Elo rated team has not lost in 20 games.
- The four higher Elo rated teams that have lost are: Thailand (v India); Australia (v Jordan); Bahrain (v Thailand); and Syria (v Jordan).
66 goals have been scored in these 24 games. By time interval, these goals were scored:
![A bar chart of the time intervals when the 66 goals in the tournament have been scored.](https://i0.wp.com/keithlyons.me/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Screen-Shot-2019-01-14-at-6.48.59-am.png?resize=453%2C304&ssl=1)
The pattern of goal scoring in the 24 games compared to some naive priors identified before the tournament is:
![A line chart of the comparison between naive priors and posterior outcomes after 24 games.](https://i0.wp.com/keithlyons.me/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Screen-Shot-2019-01-14-at-6.54.32-am.png?resize=801%2C504&ssl=1)
Hello Keith
Go well for 2019. I’d love to catch up should you be over this way. Time’s ebbing away!
Thank you, Dave. I am sorry we have not caught up. Perhaps this year?