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Exploring probabilities at #WT20 World Cup

There is one game remaining in this year's Women's T20 World Cup. Australia will play England in the final at North Sound on 24...

Goal scoring at the 2018 FIFA World Cup after 11 games

Eleven games have been completed at the 2018 FIFA World Cup. Twenty-five goals have been scored. Before the tournament started, I identified some naive priors...

2014 Super Rugby Season: Early Doors

Introduction The 2014 Super Rugby season started two weeks ago with two games in South Africa. Round 2 included all teams (except for the Melbourne Rebels...

Probability and Sensemaking

This post evolved out of two links I received yesterday. The first came from Stephen Downes' discussion of evidence-based decision-making. The second from an IBM...

Partnerships, Performance and Probability

Two Test Matches have been completed in the 2010-2011 Ashes Series. The Series is offering some excellent examples of the importance of batting partnerships...

Momentum in Team Sports

Photograph by (Tres) descamarado (2006) (Flickr Creative Commons image) A weekend of watching televised sport renewed my thinking about momentum in sport. I thought I...