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Predicting the Outcome of the 2014 FIFA World Cup: Part 2

Introduction Although I aspire to be connected to a social world of sharing, sometimes a lot of the time I am out of the loop. I...

Predicting the Outcome of the 2014 FIFA World Cup

Introduction Thirty two teams have qualified for the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil. The teams are allocated into the following Groups (with links to EA...

Referees at the 2014 FIFA World Cup

Introduction Four years ago, I tracked the performance of twenty-four referees at the FIFA World Cup in South Africa. FIFA has announced a pool of 33...

Scoring patterns in #WorldCup Knockout Phases 2010-2018

The Quarter Finals are about to take place at the 2018 FIFA World Cup. I have been using a naive Bayes approach to anticipate when...

2018 FIFA #WorldCup: end of first round of games

The first round of group games has concluded at the 2018 FIFA World Cup. 38 goals were scored in these 16 games. Of these: Winning teams...

Naive probability priors for goal scoring at #WorldCupRussia2018

I have some naive prior probability estimates for when goals will be scored at the 2018 FIFA World Cup based on performances in 2014...

Anticipating ball in play times at the 2018 FIFA World Cup

The 2018 FIFA World Cup starts in a few hours time. I am looking forward to accessing the data shared on the official website for...

Predicting the outcome of the 2018 FIFA World Cup using Elo ratings

Introduction The 2018 FIFA World Cup starts in a week's time. The first game is between Russia and Saudi Arabia in the Luzhniki Stadium in...

Scoring first in football project: two FIFA World Cups

This is a second post in the scoring first in football project. The first reported on six European leagues in the 2017-2018 season. The methodology...

#WWC2015 and #WC2014: Comparing Ball in Play After 12 Games

FIFA have provided ball in play data for the 2014 and 2015 World Cups. Today is the start of round 2 of the group games...