Predictive Analytics

iSportConnect and Paper.Li brought me two predictive analytics stories this morning.

The iSportConnect link shared news of the Rugby Football Union’s partnership with IBM.

IBM has become the Official Analytics Partner for the RFU and  “will implement an analytics solution to provide fans with real-time insights into the game, including information about individual performance by players – the IBM TryTracker”.

IBM’s Predictive Analytics software “will analyse historic and current rugby data provided by Opta” and aims to “give viewers access to insights that will heighten their understanding of what to watch for in each game and explain what needs to be done to increase the likelihood of a team win against specific opponents”.

K2G

The IBM TryTracker will include the ‘Keys to the Game’,  that will “provide play-by-play insights during the game, and predict three crucial areas of performance specific to each team ahead of match day”. The data for the Tracker will be collected by Opta for all England internationals and will be analysed by IBM, before being hosted on RFU.com.

The platform will also:

  • Visualise ‘Momentum’
  • Identify ‘Key Influencers’

IBM’ service builds on work developed in tennis tournaments. (I posted about the Wimbledon SlamTracker last year.)

Paper.Li brought news that “researchers have created software that predicts when and where disease outbreaks might occur based on two decades of New York Times articles and other online data”. An MIT Technology Review post by Tom Simonite provided details of the prototype software.

  • It uses 22 years of New York Times archives (1986-2007)
  • Draws on data from the Web to learn about what leads up to major news events (including DBpedia, WordNet, and OpenCyc)

This blend of resources supports the development of general rules for what events precede others.

The post highlights another a startup company, Recorded Future that makes predictions about future events “harvested from forward-looking statements online and other sources”. In a post about the company last December, Tom Simonite reported that search results “are compiled using a constantly updated index of ‘streaming data’, including news articles, filings with government regulators, Twitter updates, and transcripts from earnings calls or political and economic speeches”.

Recorded Future uses linguistic algorithms to identify specific types of events and can track the overall tone that news coverage and blog entries take.  (A video about Recorded Future.)

RF

Wimbledon 2012: Early Doors

Last week I wrote about the Wimbledon Championships’ website.

I thought I would visit the IBM SlamTracker scoreboard on Day 1.

There was a page for Match Statistics:

Three keys to success for each player:

Indication of the momentum of the game:

I could not find the SecondSight data mentioned in this press release:

Following on from the 2011 pilot on Court 18, this year for the first time on Centre Court, IBM will trial player movement tracking. With IBM SecondSight it will be possible to track the fastest moving players and how their performance changes, set by set and match by match. The system can provide new data that could help players, coaches, commentators and fans alike; and, add a new dimension to fan’s understanding of the science of tennis.

Analysing and Visualising Lawn Tennis Performance

The All England Club and IBM have announced their 2012 web service for the Wimbledon Championships.

The Championships’ website is built on IBM’s SmartCloud infrastructure. It integrates a new online broadcast channel, and an interactive analytics-enabled IBM SlamTracker scoreboard. This scoreboard uses predictive analytics technology.  It will use historical and real-time data. There will be a ‘Momentum’ capability that will “map a match in real-time, visualizing key turning points and their causes.”

The announcement reports that there will be “a ‘Keys to the Match’ feature within SlamTracker that aims to determine the top three things a player must do in order to do well in a specific match”.

At the 2011 Championships there was a pilot of player movement tracking system. This year this SecondSight will be used on Centre Court.

Hat Tip

Darrell Cobner alerted me to this Guardian post about the IBM system in use at Wimbledon after reading my post.

Photo Credit

IBM SecondSight