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Episodes in a contested AFL game: an example from Round 7 in 2016

Introduction Yesterday, I discussed the Gold Coast versus Melbourne AFL game from Round 7 of the 2016 AFL season. Today I am looking at a game in Round 7 that was contested over three of the four quarters of the game, Richmond versus Hawthorn. I had anticipated that Hawthorn would win this game. This is the scoring chart for the game from the AFL website: A Contest I think this is an excellent example of a contested game in which momentum shifts from one team to another until in the fourth quarter, Hawthorn breaks away and dominates the game. In each of the first, second and...

AFL 2014 Qualifying Final 1: Geelong v Hawthorn

Geelong and Hawthorn meet this evening in the first qualifying final of the 2014 AFL season. The teams have met twice during the regular season. Game 1 Scores By Quarter (Geelong won 106 v 87) Game 2 Scores By Quarter (Hawthorn won 94 v 71) The comparative rhythm of points scoring for both teams during the whole season has been: The performances of both teams against the season's average winning score of 104 points and the average losing score of 69 points have been: Geelong Hawthorn This a great game to start the AFL Finals. Data over the whole season suggest to me a Hawthorn win. I am mindful...

Visualising Actual Performance Compared to Predicted Performance

Introduction The Sydney Moderns Exhibition in general, and Roy de Maistre in particular, have sent me off thinking about visualisation this week. I have been wondering if I can combine my interest in the impact of a team's ranking on performance with a narrative form that has a visual impact. Thanks to an alert from my son, Sam, my colour search was transformed by the ColourLovers site. I was able to use their palette tool to explore HTML Colour Codes. I decided to create two single hue palettes, one for winning (blue) and one for losing (red) performance. The ColourLovers palette enables the...

The Hawthorn Effect 2013

Introduction Last weekend, Hawthorn defeated Brisbane in Round 14 of the 2013 AFL Competition. The win extended Hawthorn's undefeated run this season to twelve games. Their only loss of the season was in Round 1. I have been monitoring scoring patterns in the AFL this season and have been interested in particular in scores at the end of each quarter of games. I compare Hawthorn's winning pattern here with that of the average of winning teams over the whole season. I have compiled the data for Hawthorn's thirteen games to date by excluding average winning performances for Week 11 which was Hawthorn's...

Encoding Success

Introduction: DNA and CNA This was a remarkable week for the Encyclopedia of DNA Elements (ENCODE) Consortium. ENCODE is an international collaboration of research groups funded by the National Human Genome Research Institute (NHGRI) that aims to build a comprehensive parts list of functional elements in the human genome, including elements that act at the protein and RNA levels, and regulatory elements that control cells and circumstances in which a gene is active. On the 5 September, ENCODE announced that: The results of the ENCODE project were published today in a coordinated set of 30 papers published in multiple journals. These publications...

Performance Narratives

I am back in Australia after a visit to Germany. On my return I have come across three different resources to fuel my interest in performance narratives. 1. Team BMC James Bennett has posted a great article on the Drum website. In a post titled Cadel Evans and the Armstrong parallels, James points out: Cadel Evans's references to how he structured this year's season around the Tour de France sounds like what another guy who was good at winning Le Tour used to say. Lance Armstrong changed professional cycling by focussing exclusively on riding to win just one race a year (albeit the biggest...