Six European Football Leagues Going into Christmas 2017

I have been following scoring patterns in six European football leagues (EPL, Ligue 1, Bundesliga, Serie A, Eredivisie and Primera) in the 2017-2018 season.

I have a particular interest in the outcome of scoring first and not losing in games in these leagues.

Prior to midweek games on 13 December 2017, the range of my data (n=875 games) thus far is:

In Ligue 1, the % of games in which the team that has scored first and not lost has ranged between 86% and 89%. In Serie A, the range is 72% to 80%. The other four leagues fit between these two leagues.

My BoxplotR visualisation of nine observations for these leagues is:

The box plot statistics are:

The EPL is about to enter an intense fixture period and I will be interested to observe any changes in pattern.

A separate project is to examine the games in which the team that scores first has lost (n=96 of the 875 games played). The Eredivisie has the largest number of these games (n=23 out of 134 games) and the Primera the smallest number (n=12 out of 150 games).

Photo Credit

Marco Verratti (PSG Officiel, Twitter)

Fireworks (AjaxDaily, Twitter)

Scoring first and losing in six European league competitions 2017-2018: Update

There have been 21 games this season in six European leagues (EPL, Ligue 1, Eredivisie, Bundesliga, Serie A, Primera) in which the team that scored first has lost (as of 18 September).

The games are:

  • Serie A (5)

Benevento Calcio v Sampdoria (Round 1)

Roma v Inter (Round 2)

Atalanta v Napoli (Round 2)

Genoa v Juventus (Round 2)

Sassuolo Calcio v Atalanta (Round 3)

  • Ligue 1 (4)

Toulouse v Monaco (Round 1)

Metz v Guingamp (Round 1)

Toulouse v PSG (Round 3)

Rennes v Toulouse (Round 4).

  • Eredivisie (4)

Alkmaar v Eindhoven (Round 1)

Ajax v Heracles Almelo (Round 1)

Roda JC Kerkrade v PEC Zwolle (Round 1)

SBV Excelsior v sc Heerenveen (Round 5)

  • Primera (3)

Celta Vigo v Real Sociadad (Round 1) 

Celta Vigo v Real Betis (Round 2)

Getafe CF v Barcelona (Round 4)

  • Bundesliga (3)

Freiburg v Leipzig (Round 2)

Bayer Leverkusen v Mainz (Round 3)

Werder Bremen v FC Schalke 04 (Round 4)

  • EPL (2)

Bournemouth v Manchester City (Round 3)

Brighton v Bournemouth (Round 5)

Photo Credit

FC Schalke 04 (Twitter)

Scoring first and losing in six European football leagues 2017-2018

A picture of sassuolo calcio's first goal against Atalanta in Serie A

At the end of league games on 11 September, 212 games had been played in six European football leagues: EPL (40), Ligue 1 (50), Bundesliga (27), Eredivisie (36), Primera (30); and Serie A (29).

In 17 of these games, the team that scored first lost. Their occurrences are:

  • Serie A (5)

Benevento Calcio v Sampdoria (Round 1)

Roma v Inter (Round 2)

Atalanta v Napoli (Round 2)

Genoa v Juventus (Round 2)

Sassuolo Calcio v Atalanta (Round 3)

  • Ligue 1 (4)

Toulouse v Monaco (Round 1)

Metz v Guingamp (Round 1)

Toulouse v PSG (Round 3)

Rennes v Toulouse (Round 4).

  • Eredivisie (3)

Alkmaar v Eindhoven (Round 1)

Ajax v Heracles Almelo (Round 1)

Roda JC Kerkrade v PEC Zwolle (Round 1)

  • Primera (2)

Celta Vigo v Real Sociadad (Round 1) 

Celta Vigo v Real Betis (Round 2)

  • Bundesliga (2)

Freiburg v Leipzig (Round 2)

Bayer Leverkusen v Mainz (Round 3)

  • EPL (1)

Bournemouth v Manchester City (Round 3)

My aim is to update this post throughout the season. I am fascinated by this group of games as the exceptions to the impact of scoring first and not losing. As of 11 September the median % of teams scoring first and not losing in six European leagues was 86%.

Photo Credit

Sassuolo Calcio v Atalanta (Frame grab)