After the completion of most games in six European association football leagues on 4 November, my record for scoring first and not losing is:
The median posterior for the six leagues this week is 0.83.
After the completion of three games on Monday evening, six European leagues (EPL, Ligue 1, Bundesliga, Serie A, Eredivisie, and Primera) have played 520 games.
I have been monitoring goal scoring in these leagues. My data are:
Scoring First and Winning
Scored First and Drawing
n = 94
Scoring First and Not Losing
n = 429
Scoring First and Losing
n = 57
Emirates (Unai Emery, Twitter)
Early exposure to Charles Reep’s work has led me to a four decade fascination with the observation and analysis of goal-scoring in association football.
I have a particular interest in those games in which a team scores first and loses.
So far, in five of Europe’s major leagues (Bundesliga yet to start) there have been seven games of this type:
My basic visualisations:
The scores in these games
The teams that overcame conceding the first goals:
The basic code I used to create these visualisations:
df <- read.csv(“SFL.csv”)
ggplot(df, aes(x=League, y=TE, label = Game)) +
geom_point(colour = “firebrick1”) +
geom_label_repel(size = 3, colour = “black”, fontface = “bold”) +
ggtitle(“Games in which team scores first and loses”) +
labs(subtitle = “European Leagues 2018-2019”) +
xlab (“League”) + ylab (“Time Taken to Equalise (Minutes)”) +
AFC Bournemouth (Twitter)