The 2019 AFLW season starts on Saturday with the opening game between Geelong and Collingwood (link to fixtures).
I have some data from last year’s regular season (link) curated as secondary data from the official AFLW web site (link).
A Violin Plot created with BoxPlotR (link). (W1Q is the winning team, L1Q is the losing team).
These data have given me an opportunity to postulate some naive priors about when points will be scored in the 2019 season. The probabilities per quarter are based upon game outcome so that the labels ‘winning’ and ‘losing’ relate to the game not the quarter.
My record of the 2018 AFLW season point scoring after the conclusion of the regular season is:
I have excluded the drawn game between GWS and Adelaide. The winning teams are in light blue and the losing teams are in light green.
The visualisation and data matrix for this box plot is provided by BoxPlotR:
The box plot description for figure legend:
Center lines show the medians; box limits indicate the 25th and 75th percentiles as determined by R software; whiskers extend 1.5 times the interquartile range from the 25th and 75th percentiles, outliers are represented by dots; data points are plotted as open circles. n = 27 sample points.