Shots and Goals: Quality, Expectations and Context (2)

I mentioned earlier this week that I have been working on a shot quality and expected goals project.

I have finished a first draft of a bibliography. Link.

I am mindful that this is not a complete bibliography. Many of the references were acquired through recommendations in the literature I had found. I hope that in this open document there can be ongoing inclusion of references.

My summary of these references extends the bibliography. Link.

As I was writing the summary, I found myself asking what Charles Reep would think about this work.

I have compiled some information about the data he collected. Link.

This is my secondary analysis of some of the data shared by Charles Reep and Bernard Benjamin in their 1968 paper.

1953-1954 Wolverhampton Wanderers

First Division Champions. Won 25, Drew 7 and lost 10. Goals for 96, goals against 56, goal average 1.71.

Sheffield Wednesday 1955-1956

Sheffield Wednesday were Champions of the Second Division. Won 21, drew 13 and lost 8. Goals for 101, goals against 62, goal average 1.63.

Sheffield Wednesday 1956-1957

14th in the First Division.  Won 16, drew 6 and lost 20. Goals for 82, goals against 88, goal average 0.93.

Sheffield Wednesday 1957-1958

Sheffield Wednesday finished in 22nd in the League and were relegated. The only team not to win away from home all season. Won 12, drew 7 and lost 23. Goals for 69, goals against 92, goal average 0.75.

Tottenham Hotspur 1960-1961

First Division Champions. Won 31, Drew 4 and lost 7. Goals for 115, goals against 55, goal average 2.09.

Tottenham Hotspur 1961-1962

Third in First Division. Won 21, Drew 10 and lost 11. Goals for 88, goals against 69, goal average 1.28.

Arsenal 1961-1962

Arsenal finished 10th in the League. At home 9 wins, 6 draws, 6 defeats, goals for 39, goals against 31. Away games 7 wins, 5 draws, 9 defeats, goals for 32, goals against 41, goal average 0.99.

Burnley 1961-1962

Second in First Division. Won 21, Drew 11 and lost 10. Goals for 101, goals against 67, goal average 1.51.

Coventry City 1962-1963

4th in the Third Division. Won 18, Drew 17 and lost 11. Goals for 83, goals against 69, goal average 1.20.

Tottenham Hotspur 1962-1963

Second in First Division. Won 23, Drew 9 and lost 10. Goals for 111, goals against 62, goal average 1.79.

The 1968 paper uses data gathered by hand notation in 578 matches from 1953 to 1967.

Photo Credit

Untended Goal (gfpeck, CC BY-ND 2.0)

Shots and Goals: Quality, Expectations and Context

I have been reviewing the literature on shots and goals in ice hockey and association football.

In doing so, I am mindful of Ted Knutson’s (2013) observation:

The soccer analytics community is currently growing by leaps and bounds, which means that there’s new information being processed almost every single day. It also means that there are tons of new people interested in the topic, and figuring out who to read or where to go can be a bit daunting at first.

I have compiled a bibliography that covers 2004 to 2017. Link.

It is incomplete but extends to twelve pages. It is a Google Doc so I will continue to update it. One of my problems in researching the literature was my inability to access some of the ice hockey articles.

I ended up on this landing page a number of times:

I have included the references in my list and apologise for the lack of access. I could not find the posts archived or curated anywhere else.

I have started to compile a synthesis of the literature. This is another ongoing Google Doc project. Link.

Many years ago, I pursued the coaching connections between association football and field hockey. I was inspired by Horst Wein.

In locating conversations about quality and expectations of shots and goals in association football, I have looked more closely than I have previously at the ice hockey literature. I found the quality of writing and insights shared profoundly interesting. I particularly liked the idea that many of the writers used pseudonyms, including the exotic Vic Ferrari.

In a desire to create an open educational resource from this review, I have created a Google Doc to offer a partial introduction to football analytics. Link.

At the heart of the resource is a discussion about Lex Immers.

I was only able to access Michiel De Hoog’s (2014) post because of Erica Moore’s (2016) translation of the original Dutch article.

Erica’s open sharing reaffirmed for me not only the delights of open sharing but also the vibrancy of the football analytics literature.

I am keen to develop these resources and would welcome any guidance a remarkable community of practice can offer.

Photo Credit

Peter Whittingham Scores From the Freekick (John Candy)

#coachlearninginsport … silent eloquence

During my travels around England this month, I have been listening to Classic FM.

Each hour in the past week, there has been a promotion of the Woodland Trust’s Big Bluebell Watch that mentions Anne Brontë’s Bluebell poem.

The second verse of the poem starts with these two lines:

There is a silent eloquence
In every wild bluebell

Every time I hear those lines, I think about the conversations I have been having with coaches over the last four years in a critical friend project.

Most of the coaches in the group would get stuck into me about being overly romantic in my view of their coaching. However, I do think that the conversations have given me abundant opportunities to share a silent eloquence that comes with their experience and reflection.

There is a melancholy part of the poem too … about times remembered of “sunny days of merriment” when “heart and soul were free”. The poem ends with this verse:

‘Sad wanderer, weep those blissful times
That never may return!’
The lovely floweret seemed to say,
And thus it made me mourn.

A number of the coaches in the group have lost their jobs in the last four years. Two of them are finding the experience of unemployment particularly hard as they strive to get interviews for new opportunities.

They have silent eloquence to share and will flourish in the light.

That is the paradox in Anne’s poem and in the world of coaching … and perhaps why we need a Woodland Trust project for coaches.

Photo Credit

Tiddesley Woods (Pershore Pictures, Twitter)