#AsianCup2019: end of group games

The group stages of the 2019 Asian Cup concluded with Lebanon’s defeat of North Korea on game 36 of the tournament (link).

In the group games:

  • 96 goals were scored
  • the team that scored first did not lose in 28 games
  • the higher Elo rated team did not lose in 31 of the 36 games
  • the five higher Elo rated teams that lost were: Thailand (v India); Australia (v Jordan); Bahrain (v Thailand); Syria (v Jordan); Saudi Arabia (v Qatar).

The 96 goals were scored in these 15 minute time intervals:

A matrix and bar chart of when goals were scored in the group games by 15 minute time period.

The posterior outcomes of these games compared to naive priors proposed prior to the tournament:

A matrix and bar charts that compare prior probabilities with posterior probabilities after 36 games
A line diagram to compare prior and posterior probabilities.

The knockout stages begin on Sunday, 20 January with the game between Jordan and Vietnam (link).

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