I estimated some priors for game outcomes in six European football leagues at the start of the 2018-2019 seasons in England, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain.
I have some posteriors for these leagues after the conclusion of games on 22 October.
My data are:
The differences between my priors and posteriors are:
Without seeing any of the Eredivisie season in the Netherlands thus far, I am fascinated by the change in that league’s profile. There has been an observable change in the Primera in Spain too.
Kampioen (ShotOnGoal, Twitter)