Points Scored Profiles Prior To #NRLGF 2017

The Melbourne Storm have defeated the North Queensland Cowboys in the 2017 NRL Grand Final.

I have monitored scoring patterns in the NRL in 2017 and have used the official NRL web site as my source of secondary data.

I have used BoxPlotR to visualise the scoring profiles of the two teams in the Final.

In the plots, the centre lines show the medians; box limits indicate the 25th and 75th percentiles as determined by R software; whiskers extend 1.5 times the interquartile range from the 25th and 75th percentiles, outliers are represented by dots. There are 26 sample points.

Melbourne

North Queensland Cowboys

Melbourne and North Queensland Comparison (Points Scored)

… which led me to believe that Melbourne would win the Final by a margin of not less than 9 points. The game would be much less predictable if the Cowboys could score two tries in the first half and play above their season median profile after an exhausting series of games on the road.

Photo Credit

Winners (Liam Cox, Twitter)

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