I am following three of the four football codes in Australia in the 2013 season. The three codes are: Australian Rules, Rugby League and Rugby Union. This is my fourth post about Performance Against Ranking (the first post is here).
I am interested in the performance of each team against their ranking in the 2012 season. (There is some background information here.) I have a basic notation to monitor trends:
I have indicated whether there is: a home win (HW), home loss (HL), away win (AW), away loss (AL), home draw (HD) and away draw (AD) in each colour code. I identify a draw as a losing draw for the higher ranked team and a winning draw for the lower ranked team (for example, the Brumbies v the Kings in Round 8 of Super Rugby).
Round 3 of 2013 AFL season was concluded on Sunday.
The two notable victories in Week 3 were Essendon’s win at Fremantle and Port Adelaide’s home win against Adelaide. Essendon is the first team to win this season despite having two quarters with single figure points. Essendon came back from a 36 point deficit to win by 4 points. Port Adelaide overcame a 15 point deficit at half time to win by 9 points.
After three rounds of the competition, the cumulative winner’s average and the round by round winning averages are:
Carlton has lost three games despite averaging 101 points per game. By quarter, Carlton’s performance thus far:
Round 6 of the NRL was completed yesterday evening with a victory for the Titans over the Eels.
The Storm ended the Rabbitohs‘ winning start to the season. There were two wins by lower ranked teams this week. The Roosters defeated the Bulldogs and the Broncos defeated the Cowboys. Only one of the seven teams in the lower half of the 2012 rankings won against a higher ranked team this week (the Roosters) as was the case last week (the Eels were the victors then).
There have been nine rounds of the Super 15 Competition to date. Round 9 was a volatile week (as was Week 8). The Chiefs, Crusaders, Hurricanes and Rebels lost to lower ranked opponents. The Rebels lost after the final siren against the Kings.
One of the important issues for me, in all three football codes, is whether teams can win at home against higher ranked opponents. I think this has enormous implications for a team’s support. Away wins against higher ranked teams are very important too.
This week in the AFL, Port Adelaide had a home win in their local derby against a higher ranked Adelaide. Essendon won away from home against a higher ranked team, Fremantle. In the NRL, there were home wins for the Broncos and the Roosters against higher ranked opponents (the Cowboys and Bulldogs respectively). The Roosters held the Bulldogs to 0 which is significant achievement for a lower ranked team. In a volatile week in Super 15, the Chiefs and the Rebels lost at home whilst the Crusaders and Hurricanes lost away.