Winning and Losing in the 2013 Six Nations Rugby Union Tournament: Some Quantitative Data

I have been following the 2013 Six Nations’ performance data provided by the Official Website for the Tournament.

This is my first look at some quantitative data. I have a Google Sheet of these data here.

Most of the data types are self-explanatory. The one addition I have made is to look at how many more lineouts than scrums there were for Winners and Losers (Lineouts > Scrums).

Over the five weeks, and for the Tournament as a whole, the Winners’ averages (rounded to whole numbers) were:

  Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Overall
Win Margin

11

13

10

9

14

12

Half Time Margin

9

5

0

5

1

4

Tries

3

2

1

1

2

2

Conversions

3

2

1

1

1

1

Penalty Goals

3

3

5

7

4

4

Drop Goals

0

0

0

0

0

0

Possession 1H (%)

57

48

42

68

58

53

Possession 2H (%)

46

38

42

42

61

46

Time in Opp Half 1H (%)

58

49

40

74

60

55

Time in Opp Half 2H (%)

49

39

42

39

66

47

Pens/FKs Conceded

11

12

14

9

11

12

Passes

155

96

75

108

126

112

Offloads

13

3

3

8

7

7

Lineouts > Scrums

4

6

5

8

4

5

For the Losers:

  Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Overall
Lose Margin

-11

-13

-10

-9

-14

-12

Half Time Margin

-9

-5

0

-5

-1

-4

Tries

2

0

0

1

0

1

Conversions

1

0

0

0

0

1

Penalty Goals

2

2

2

4

3

2

Drop Goals

0

0

0

0

0

0

Possession 1H (%)

43

52

58

33

42

47

Possession 2H (%)

54

62

58

59

39

54

Time in Opp Half 1H (%)

42

51

60

27

40

45

Time in Opp Half 2H (%)

51

61

57

62

33

52

Pens/FKs Conceded

10

11

14

18

13

13

Passes

154

111

130

110

98

121

Offloads

9

6

7

5

4

6

Lineouts > Scrums

6

8

7

1

4

5

A direct comparison of the five-week Tournament performance for Winners and Losers:

Winners Overall Losers Overall
Win Margin

12

Lose Margin

-12

Half Time Margin

4

Half Time Margin

-4

Tries

2

Tries

1

Conversions

1

Conversions

1

Penalty Goals

4

Penalty Goals

2

Possession 1H (%)

53

Possession 1H (%)

47

Possession 2H (%)

46

Possession 2H (%)

54

Time in Opp Half 1H (%)

55

Time in Opp Half 1H (%)

45

Time in Opp Half 2H (%)

47

Time in Opp Half 2H (%)

52

Pens/FKs Conceded

12

Pens/FKs Conceded

13

Passes

112

Passes

121

Offloads

7

Offloads

6

Lineouts > Scrums

5

Lineouts > Scrums

5

These are very similar profiles but I am particularly interested in Winning teams’ first half dominance and overall discipline. I think the phenomenography of each game can give us the granular detail.

There was one drawn game in the competition, Ireland v France, in Round 4.

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