Predicting Medal Outcomes at the 2012 Olympic Games

Yesterday the Australian Olympic Committee (AOC) announced its predictions for medal outcomes at the 2012 Olympic Games.

A statement on the AOC website notes:

  • Australia is still aiming for a top five finish on the overall medal tally at next year’s London Olympics despite slipping to eighth position on the latest Benchmark analysis of Olympic sports.
  • The top three nations on the overall medal tally are streets ahead of the rest with Russia 97 medals, USA 94 and China 93. Great Britain is fourth with 48 medals followed by Germany 47, France 45 and Japan 43. Australia is eighth on 42 medals.
  • The study is based on results from World Championships, World Cups and other major international events held in 2010. In the case of swimming and athletics which did not have world championships in 2010 it is based on performances achieved internationally over the year.
  • Out of the 42 medals won or credited in 2010, cycling won six, track and field four, sailing four, rowing four and diving three. Swimming which traditionally wins the bulk of Australia’s medals finished with 14. At the 2008 Beijing Olympics our swimmers won 20 medals out of a total of 46.
  • Australia finished fourth on the overall medal tally at the Sydney 2000 Games with 58 medals. We were fourth again in Athens in 2004 with 49 medals.

The AOC has provided information about the 2010 Benchmark Assumptions.

It has provided a 2010 Benchmark Medal Results Table too.

Photo Credit

Olympic Park Walk

2 thoughts on “Predicting Medal Outcomes at the 2012 Olympic Games”

Leave a Reply